Tuesday, November 13, 2007

Giuliani: front-runner in name only?


The Mayor of 9/11 in drag

Citizen Rudolph Giuliani's hold on the front-runner slot is rapidly crumbling. It may not even matter that he leads in the national polls. . .he is being trounced in the two first primary states, Iowa and New Hampshire. Iowa is almost as key for the G.O.P. candidates as it is for the Dems. Conventional Wisdom says that if Senator Clinton takes Iowa, the race is virtually over.

Two new polls show Mitt Romney taking a widening lead in New Hampshire, the first battleground.

While The Mayor of 9/11 has held onto his lead in national polls and several states, Ex-governor Romney is now well ahead in both Iowa and New Hampshire, the two early-voting states that have always been key in determining the Republican nominee.


homina homina homina

Mr. Romney has now opened up a 12-point lead over Giuliani in New Hampshire, 32% to 20%, in a Boston Globe/University of New Hampshire poll released Sunday. The latest Marist College poll, also released yesterday gives him an 11 point edge. Senator McCain of Arizona is running third in both surveys.

Mitt Romney has consolidated his lead and the Republican contest is now a horse race, despite the surveys in September that suggested Giuliani had closed the gap in New Hampshire. Mr. Romney has been ahead in Iowa by double digits since summer. The Iowans caucus on January 3.

"Certainly [Romney] has to be seen as the front-runner now," a political scientist and pollster at the University of New Hampshire, Andrew Smith, said yesterday.

Bummer for Rudy. . .since he has recently been jawboning about winning New Hampshire. It now looks like Romney may sweep the first two states. If that happens, it would catapult Romney into the Michigan, Florida, and South Carolina contests later in January.

It can't help the Mayor of 9/11 that his former New York police commissioner, Bernard Kerik, (whom Mr. Giuliani recommended to President Bush as a secretary of homeland security in 2004) is in hot water. That pathetic recommendation not only brought heat down on the former mayor, but also piled more trouble on the already deeply troubled Bush Administration.

If you've been following the election here, you remember I predicted Romney would surge ahead. I'm just a little shocked it has taken this long.

At least Rudy had some good news this weekend...Pat Robertson's endorsement!
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