and Jack Brummet, Arts Editor
In late 2010, we guessed who would be running for President from the Republican (and Tea) Party in 2012. Of our candidates, three are still in the race. Many of our picks didn't even get off the ground; we missed Rick Perry and Michele Bachmann; Sarah Palin performed a protracted will she?/won't she skit; and several of our picks faltered before the Iowa caucuses. On the whole, we did a lot better job of guessing than we did in the 2008 contest.
Who is the next candidate to bail? We are guessing Rick Santorum. The South Carolina contest is extremely volatile. Newt has incredibly, surged ahead in the last few days, and in some polls is besting Romney. But then he was hit with some new dirt from his first wife. And he even made some hay with that in the most recent debate.
Despite everything he has said and done, we somehow prefer Newt to Rick Santorum. We think he will nudge Santorum out in SC. Ron Paul will remain stable, but will stay in the contest because he has rabid fans that keeping pouring money into the campaign.
It looks like Florida may be where the rubber meets the road. Let's see what happens in South Carolina this weekend. . .
---o0o---
1 comment:
I bet that a third-party candidate will take 20%+ of the popular vote in November.
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